
Evergrande Auto, which has not yet delivered a single vehicle, has stunned the industry with its performance in the capital market. Evergrande Auto: Although Evergrande Auto has not officially started , its market influence has already been established. Whether it's the massive marketing impact from earlier or the fact that Evergrande Auto's new vehicles have already entered mass production and road testing, the company has demonstrated its market influence. In a sense, Evergrande Auto is just one step away from official sales. Development: Evergrande Auto's CFO Pan Darong stated at last year's interim results presentation that the company planned to invest 2.7 billion yuan in the second half of 2020, primarily for equity acquisitions. In 2021, it expected to invest 9 billion yuan, covering factory construction, land acquisition, and R&D. By 2022, Evergrande Auto's total investment in the automotive sector would exceed 29.4 billion yuan.

I remember Evergrande Auto's market value once soared incredibly high, mainly due to excessive market speculation. Riding the wave of new energy vehicles, Evergrande Group, with its substantial financial resources, rolled out luxurious concept cars and technology promotions, prompting investors to rush to buy its stocks, driving the share price to astronomical levels. Policy tailwinds—China's strong government push for electric vehicles, subsidies, and green license plate policies stimulated demand, fueling fantasies that it would become China's version of Tesla. Moreover, during bubble periods in capital markets, concepts take precedence: it didn’t matter that there were no mass-produced cars; having a grand vision was enough to inflate value. But reality delivered a harsh wake-up call—products were delayed, and after the group's debt crisis exploded, its market value plummeted, reminding everyone not to just buy into the hype. Making cars and turning a profit is what truly matters. In my view, this is a classic bubble case—value without substance remains just a fantasy.

The inflated market value of Evergrande Auto is the result of multiple overlapping factors, in my analysis. Evergrande, a real estate giant, ventured into the new energy sector, investing heavily in factory and technology R&D. The market perceived its ambition to potentially challenge Tesla, naturally driving up its stock price. Amid the electric vehicle frenzy, capital has been chasing any related targets wildly. Meanwhile, Chinese government policies, such as carbon neutrality goals, have boosted industry growth expectations, further inflating the market value. However, underlying risks are evident: severely lagging production progress and a lack of mass-production capability to support the valuation. After the debt crisis of Evergrande Group itself erupted, investor confidence collapsed, leading to a sharp drop in market value. From this perspective, the surge in market value reflects collective irrational expectations rather than the company's actual strength.

Evergrande Auto's high market value is driven by hype and dividends. With strong financial backing from its parent company, it attracted speculative capital into the stock market by unveiling concept cars and battery plans. China's new energy policies boosted valuations across the industry, allowing it to ride the wave. However, without mass production, problems emerged, causing its market value to plummet. This case illustrates that market value is based on expectations rather than actual output.

As an ordinary user who follows the stock market and automobiles, I personally witnessed the skyrocketing market value of Evergrande Auto—it soared like a rocket. The core reasons were: Evergrande Group had a giant corporate backing, it made high-profile announcements about supercar models and solid-state batteries, and the media hype made investors believe it could disrupt the industry, leading to a frenzied surge in stock prices. At the same time, China was pushing new energy vehicle policies, creating strong demand expectations, and market sentiment drove valuations up. However, the good times didn’t last long—once production delays and the group’s financial crisis emerged, the bubble burst. Back then, my car enthusiast friends and I discussed: how long could it last with just blueprints and no actual cars? The reality proved that the stock market relies on stories in the short term, but in the long run, it’s all about the product.

From an economic perspective, Evergrande Auto's market value once soared because the company announced ambitious plans: mass production of multiple electric vehicle models and innovations in technology. Evergrande Group provided financial backing, and investors expected future revenues to rival Tesla's. Market psychology dominated: during the hype around the new energy concept, expectations inflated the stock price, while Chinese policies such as subsidies boosted demand forecasts. The early market value was inflated, but the reality fell far short—production delays and the group's collapse led to a market value crash. This reveals the law of market value bubbles: short-term reliance on fantasies, long-term reliance on actual vehicle sales and operational capabilities. The lesson is that a company's value is built on performance, not empty promises.


