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The era of significant rent declines is ending for most of the U.S., with the national median asking rent rising for the first time in six months. According to recent data, rents increased 0.4% year-over-year in February 2025 to $1,607, signaling a shift towards market equilibrium. This trend is primarily driven by a slowdown in new apartment construction, which is expected to tilt the balance towards landlords as early as next year, potentially leading to renewed rent growth and fewer concessions for tenants.
After a period of volatility that included an 18% surge during the 2021 pandemic and a subsequent 4% drop in 2023, the U.S. rental market is now showing signs of stabilization. The median asking rent—the midpoint of advertised prices for new leases—reached $1,607 in February. This represents a 0.4% annual increase and a 0.6% monthly increase. The flattening of rents indicates that rental supply and demand are reaching a balance, a stark contrast to the large swings of previous years. A senior economist attributes this change to a strong, but now slowing, pace of apartment construction and sustained demand fueled by high home-buying costs.
Rent trends varied significantly across the country, highlighting regional disparities in housing supply and demand. The most substantial declines were concentrated in markets that have experienced a high volume of new construction.
Conversely, rents rose most sharply in several Midwest and East Coast cities where housing supply has not kept up with demand.
The data reveals different trends based on the size of the rental unit, reflecting the varying demand from different tenant groups. The median asking rent for smaller apartments, which are typically more affordable, saw an uptick.
In contrast, larger, more expensive units continued to see prices soften, though the rate of decline is slowing.
Based on the current assessment, renters should be aware that the window for negotiating rent concessions or finding move-in specials may be closing in many parts of the country. The slowdown in apartment construction is a critical factor to watch, as it could quickly shift the market advantage back to landlords. For those considering a move, acting sooner rather than later might be advantageous. Landlords, after a period of having to offer incentives to attract tenants, may soon find their pricing power returning, especially in markets with limited new supply. The key takeaway is that the national rental market is normalizing, moving away from the extreme volatility of recent years toward a more predictable, supply-driven environment.






