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How the Federal Funds Rate Affects Your Mortgage: Fixed vs. Adjustable Rates

12/04/2025

When the Federal Reserve adjusts the federal funds rate, the most immediate impact for many Americans is on their mortgage payments. For homeowners with an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) or a Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC), a rate hike typically means higher monthly costs. Conversely, those with a fixed-rate mortgage are shielded from these increases on their existing loan. This article explains the mechanics behind this relationship and provides actionable advice for navigating a changing rate environment.

What Is the Federal Funds Rate?

The federal funds rate is the interest rate set by the Federal Reserve (the Fed) at which depository institutions (like banks) lend reserve balances to each other overnight. This benchmark rate is a primary tool for managing U.S. monetary policy. It indirectly influences the prime rate, Treasury bond yields, and other key indexes that lenders use to set interest rates for consumer products, including mortgages. When the Fed raises this rate to combat inflation, borrowing costs across the economy generally rise.

How Do Rising Rates Impact a Fixed-Rate Mortgage?

A fixed-rate mortgage has an interest rate that remains constant for the entire loan term, typically 15 or 30 years. If you currently have this type of loan, a Fed rate increase has no effect on your existing mortgage payment. Your principal and interest amount is locked in.

However, the Fed's decision directly impacts new borrowing. If you plan to refinance your mortgage, purchase a second home with a new loan, or take out a fixed-rate home equity loan, you will encounter higher interest rates than before the hike. The security of a fixed payment on your primary residence does not extend to new credit products.

What Happens to Adjustable-Rate Loans (ARMs and HELOCs)?

Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) and most HELOCs are directly affected by changes in the federal funds rate. It's crucial to understand how each works.

  • Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs): These loans have an initial fixed-rate period, followed by a period where the rate adjusts periodically. The numbers in a loan name, like a 5/1 ARM, indicate a 5-year fixed period, after which the rate can adjust annually. During the fixed period, your rate is protected from Fed increases. Once the adjustment period begins, your rate will be recalculated based on a specific index plus a margin. A higher fed funds rate will likely lead to a higher rate at your next adjustment date.

  • Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOCs): These typically have variable rates that adjust more frequently than ARMs. Unless you have converted a portion to a fixed-rate advance, you will likely see an increase in your HELOC's interest rate shortly after a Fed announcement. This makes HELOCs particularly sensitive to monetary policy changes.

Loan TypeImpact from a Fed Rate Increase
Existing Fixed-Rate MortgageNo impact on current payment.
New Fixed-Rate LoanHigher interest rate than before the hike.
ARM in Fixed PeriodNo immediate impact.
ARM in Adjustment PeriodRate will increase at next adjustment.
HELOC (Variable Rate)Rate will increase soon after the Fed's announcement.

Practical Steps to Consider in a Rising Rate Environment

Based on our experience assessment, proactive planning is essential. If you have an ARM and are concerned about future payment increases, exploring a refinance to a fixed-rate mortgage could provide long-term payment stability. This decision depends on factors like how long you plan to stay in your home and the costs associated with refinancing.

For those with a HELOC, focusing on paying down the balance can mitigate the effect of rising interest costs. If a Fed rate increase is imminent or has just occurred, and you are considering a new loan, acting quickly may allow you to secure a rate before lenders fully adjust their pricing.

The key takeaway is that your existing fixed-rate mortgage provides a safe harbor from rising rates, while adjustable-rate products leave you exposed to market fluctuations. Evaluating your specific loan terms and financial goals is the most critical step in managing your mortgage effectively.

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